Blog

Bowtie Analysis in Risk Management: Method, Diagram and Examples

28/04/2026

 

Bowtie analysis is a risk visualisation method that places a hazard at the centre of a diagram and maps everything that could cause it on the left, and everything that could result from it on the right. Unlike a risk register, which lists risks and scores them, or a HAZOP, which identifies process deviations systematically, a bowtie makes the full risk picture visible in a single diagram: causes, controls and consequences together.

The result is a tool that works at two levels. For safety professionals, it structures the thinking around a specific hazard in a way that HAZOP tables and spreadsheets don't. For managers and auditors, it communicates complex risk relationships clearly and without technical jargon. Both groups can look at the same diagram and understand what could go wrong, what is stopping it, and what happens if the controls fail.

But a bowtie diagram is only as useful as the barriers it shows and barriers only work if they are maintained, tested and functioning. That is where action tracking comes in. The bowtie identifies what the barriers are; action tracking ensures they stay in place. Together, they form a complete approach to managing major hazard risk from identification through to close-out.

What a Bowtie diagram contains

The diagram above shows the core elements of a bowtie. Each one has a specific role.

Threats sit on the left. These are the causes or initiating events that could lead to the hazard being released: equipment failure, human error, a process deviation. A single hazard will typically have multiple threats feeding into it.

The top event sits at the centre. This is the moment the hazard is released, whether that is loss of containment, uncontrolled ignition or structural failure. It is the pivot point of the diagram. Everything to the left is about prevention; everything to the right is about recovery.

Consequences sit on the right. These are the outcomes if the top event occurs: injury, asset damage, environmental impact. Like threats, a single top event can lead to multiple consequences of varying severity.

Prevention barriers sit between the threats and the top event. These are the controls that stop a threat from becoming a top event, including inspection regimes, permit to work controls and engineering safeguards. If a prevention barrier fails or is absent, the threat can escalate unchecked.

Recovery barriers sit between the top event and the consequences. These limit the damage once the top event has occurred, covering emergency stops, evacuation plans and containment systems. They do not prevent the event but they reduce its impact.

Each barrier generates actions. An inspection barrier requires scheduled inspections, findings to be raised and closed, and evidence of completion. A permit to work barrier requires the PTW system to be functioning, trained and auditable. Without action tracking, there is no way to know whether the barriers shown on the diagram are actually working.

Bowtie vs HAZOP: how they fit together

HAZOP and bowtie analysis are complementary techniques, not alternatives. A HAZOP is a systematic, guide word-based study that identifies process deviations, their causes and their consequences. It produces a detailed record of every deviation considered, with recommended actions for each.

Bowtie takes selected hazards from the HAZOP output and visualises the full risk picture for each one. Where a HAZOP produces rows in a table, a bowtie produces a diagram that shows the whole story, including threats, barriers and consequences, in a format accessible to people who were not in the HAZOP room.

The typical workflow is HAZOP first, then bowtie for the major hazards. HAZOP actions feed directly into the barriers shown on the bowtie, and those barriers then drive the action tracking register. For a deeper look at how HAZOP compares to other study techniques, see our guide to HAZID vs HAZOP.

Bowtie vs Risk Register

A risk register lists risks, assigns likelihood and severity scores, and records controls. It is a useful management tool but it has a fundamental limitation: it tells you a risk exists and has a score, but it does not show you why, or what is actually stopping it from escalating.

A bowtie diagram addresses that gap. It shows the causal pathway from threat to top event to consequence, and it makes the barriers explicit and visible. You can see immediately if a barrier is absent, degraded or over-relied upon.

The limitation of a bowtie is that it is a static picture. It does not tell you whether the barriers it shows are actually functioning. A barrier that appears on a diagram but has not been inspected, tested or maintained is not a barrier; it is a false assurance. Closing that gap is the role of action tracking.

Where Action Tracking fits: the critical link

Every barrier on a bowtie diagram represents a commitment. That commitment has to be backed by actions: scheduled inspections, test records, corrective findings and close-out evidence. Without them, the bowtie is a document rather than a safety system.

The connection works like this. Each prevention and recovery barrier generates a set of recurring actions: inspect this valve quarterly, test this emergency stop monthly, review this procedure annually. Those actions need owners, due dates and a record of completion. When an inspection raises a finding, whether that is a valve not operating correctly or a procedure that is out of date, a corrective action is created and tracked through to resolution.

This is exactly what a structured action tracking system is designed to manage. It links the barrier to the action, the action to the owner, and the close-out to the audit trail. When an auditor asks whether a barrier on the bowtie is functioning, the answer is in the action register rather than in someone's memory.

For a full guide to how action tracking supports process safety across an organisation, see our guide to action tracking. For organisations using a permit to work system alongside bowtie analysis, the PTW system itself forms one of the key prevention barriers and the permit record provides part of the audit trail. See our permit to work system for more on how that works in practice.

Bowtie analysis in oil and gas and offshore

Bowtie analysis has deep roots in the oil and gas sector. Following the Piper Alpha disaster, the UK offshore industry developed a much more rigorous approach to major accident hazard management, and bowtie became one of the standard tools for demonstrating that major risks were identified, controlled and managed to ALARP.

Today, bowtie is used across the sector for hazards including loss of well control, loss of process containment, structural integrity failure, dropped objects and simultaneous operations. It is a recognised methodology under the Safety Case regime for offshore installations, and it is commonly used to support COMAH compliance onshore.

The oil and gas application is also where the link between bowtie and action tracking is most critical. The consequences of barrier failure in this environment are severe. Regulators expect not just that barriers are identified, but that there is documented evidence they are being maintained and tested. An action tracking system that links directly to the barriers on the bowtie provides exactly that evidence.

Bowtie analysis limitations

Bowtie is a powerful tool but it has limits worth understanding before you rely on it.

It is a snapshot rather than a live system. A bowtie diagram reflects the understanding of risk at the time it was drawn. As processes change, new threats emerge or barriers are modified, the diagram needs to be updated and that update needs to be managed as a formal action.

It can oversimplify complex causal chains. A single threat node on a bowtie may represent a combination of conditions. Bowtie works best for well-understood, discrete hazards where the causal logic is clear. For novel or systemic risks, techniques like fault tree analysis may be more appropriate. Our guide to FMEA and hazard analysis covers some of the alternatives.

Barrier effectiveness is assumed rather than measured. The diagram shows that a barrier exists. It does not show whether it is working. This is the most important limitation and the one that action tracking directly addresses.

Getting started with Bowtie analysis

A bowtie study works best as a focused workshop. The right people to have in the room are the process owner, the HSE lead, a technical expert familiar with the hazard, and someone with operational experience of the controls.

Before the session, gather the HAZOP output for the hazard in question, any relevant incident or near-miss history, and the current control register or risk assessment. These give the starting point for identifying threats and barriers rather than starting from scratch.

Tackle one top event at a time. A single bowtie session typically produces one or two completed diagrams. Trying to cover too many hazards in one session reduces the quality of the analysis.

Once the diagram is complete, the immediate output is a list of barriers. Each barrier should be assigned to an owner and entered into the action tracking system with a schedule for inspection or review. That step, transferring the barrier list into tracked actions, is what turns the bowtie from a diagram into a functioning part of the safety management system. Our Action Tracker helps manage that process in practice.

Scroll to top